BOB2K FOOTBALL POOL 2024 WEEK 1 NOTES 1. Welcome back HC Enterprise’s BOB2K 2024 Football Pool as we start our 34th year! 2. As always, we have some changes. New players include ANHAM, BENZ and CAKES. Welcome aboard! We have lost MNCA, MSOUP and TBNVA. Live long and prosper. Finally, we have a couple of name changes. 3PETE, after not winning four in a row, is back to MIKEG. And STEVI is now proudly (?) using the name IMHIM. 3. Amazingly, our player count remains at 33 this year. Odd numbers usually help in Reverse Consensus evaluation. 4. The deadline this year is Wednesday at Noon ET with an exception at Christmas (Week 17). 5. We may wind up with games or weeks cancelled due to Covid or other events, including the wrath of Mother Nature (Brazil burning?). For single games, those will just be eliminated and rescheduled as the NFL does so. If the NFL cancels an entire week, we will cancel as well. We will reschedule as they do (and re-pick if necessary). If the NFL awards a forfeit for any reason, we will NOT count the game in our pool. 6. Our website is still http://www.bob2ksports.com. Thanks again this year to JACKJ for helping with that. Our email remains bob2kpool@verizon.net. 7. You will get emails from us. First will be when the pool is published for the week with everyone’s picks. The second is late Sunday or sometime Monday with a projection of who can still win and how each week. The final message(s) are a gentle reminder (or two) to get your picks in. None of these are guaranteed. Do not rely on them. Ever. We mean never. 8. Bob King is still doing the finances. Contact info for Bob is on the rules webpage. 9. Please make sure to include your user name on your form and/or email. The entry of picks is a rapid process from emails and it makes it easier and less error prone. 10. Next week's deadline is Wednesday, September 11, Noon ET. See you then! __________________________ Hail to the Chief! __________________________ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PLAYERS FOR 2024 2KBOB Bob King ANHAM Andrew Hampton B1BOB Bob Conner BENZ Ben Sonnier CAKES Jason Langton CHEWY Dan Kagey CRAIG Craig Dobson CWTRD Mark Schmelz DAVID David Jochum DENNY Dennis Hajnik DONA Don Anderson GEOS George Stielper IMHIM Stevie Fleshman JACKJ Jack Justus JLEST Jim Lester JUSME Tim White KYLES Kyle Schultz MIKEG Michael Gregory MRGNE Matthew Gelinas NUPE Robert Harding PATR Pat Rossiello PHINS Robert Harding, Jr R2023 Brian Ciany SAILA Michelle Hugue SFTF3 Kristin Fleshman STOSH Stan Hutchinson SWAGG Alvin Bowie TEM Dale Henning TIMMY Tim Roessler TMAN8 Travis Fleshman TONYD Tony Defina TUCKE Sal Furno WENZE Wenzel Roessler -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WEEK 1, 2024 SUMMARY SHEET 9/5/24 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- |B K|G P|P A|A B|T C|N C|H I|J M|C N|M N|L L|D S|D C|W T|L D|N S |A C|B H|I T|Z U|E H|E I|S N|A I|A O|I Y|V A|E E|A L|A B|A E|Y F |L | I|T L| F|N I| N|N D|X A|R |N G| C|N A|L E|S |R T|J -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- 2KBOB| 12|4* | 11| 15| 10| 16|8 | 7| 9| 1| 5| 6|3 |2* | 14| 13 ANHAM|9* | 6| 7| 1|8* | 15|16 | 10|2* | 3| 4| 5|13 | 14| 11|12* -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- B1BOB|7* | 6| 11| 8| 10| 16|5 | 4| 15| 2| 14| 13|9 | 12| 3| 1 BENZ | 10| 11|2* | 9| 8| 16|7 | 13| 1|6* | 15| 5|4 |14* | 3| 12 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- CAKES| 6| 1| 2| 13| 12| 15| *8|16* |7* | 3| 4| 11| *5| 9| 10| 14 CHEWY| 1| 2|3* | 16| 9| 12| *8| 15| 7|6* | 10| 14| *11| 5| 4| 13 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- CRAIG|1* | 14| 15| 13| 7| 16|12 | 11| 10| 6| 5|4* |3 | 2|9* | 8 CWTRD|3* |5* | 1| 14| 2| 15|10 |8* | 12| 4| 13| 16|6 | 9| 7| 11 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- DAVID| 11| 10| 6| 15| 13| 16|2 | 5| 9|1* | 4| 14| *3| 7| 12| 8 DENNY|5* | 7|4* | 16| 1| 15|11 | 9| 10| 2| 14| 13| *3| 6| 8| 12 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- DONA |16* | 5|3* | 13| 9| 14| *2| 7| 8| 4| 12| 11|15 | 6| 1| 10 GEOS |8* | 2|7* | 11| 9| 16|6 | 10| 1| 3| 15| 5|13 | 4| 12| 14 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- IMHIM|1* |2* | 3| 15| 9| 16|14 | 10| 4|8* | 7| 12|6 | 5| 13| 11 JACKJ| 16| 15| 14| 13| 12| 11| *10| 9| 8| 7| 6| 5| *4| 3| 2| 1 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- JLEST| 4| 3| 5| 16| 14| 11|6 | 9| 10| 2| 8| 15|7 |1* | 12| 13 JUSME|1* | 5| 9|2* | 14| 15|7 | 4| 11| 3| 10| 6|13 | 8| 12| 16 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- KYLES| 5| 2| 7| 15| 13| 16|4 | 9| 11|1* | 6| 14| *3| 8| 10| 12 MIKEG| 16| 4| 2| 15| 13| 14|1 | 7| 12|3* | 11| 9|10 | 5| 6| 8 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- MRGNE|4* |15* |3* |12* | 8|1* |7 | 13| 9| 6| 10| 14|11 | 2|5* | 16 NUPE | 7| 1| 2| 15|3* | 16|9 | 13| 14| 4| 5| 11| *6| 8| 10| 12 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- PATR |15* | 13| 8| 12| 11| 16|10 | 4| 7|1* | 6| 2|9 | 3| 5| 14 PHINS| 3| 4|11* | 13| 1| 16| *2| 12| 7|8* | 10| 5| *6| 14| 9| 15 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- R2023| 4| 7| 9| 15| 8| 16|2 | 6| 10| 1| 13| 14|5 | 12| 11| 3 SAILA| 12|6* |9* |14* | 4|16* | *10| 2|11* | 3|8* |15* | *5|1* | 7|13* -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- SFTF3|1* | 6| 5| 14|2* | 16|12 | 9| 8|7* | 10| 11|15 |3* | 4|13* STOSH| 6| 5|3* | 15| 10| 16|2 | 9| 8|1* | 12| 14| *4| 7| 11| 13 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- SWAGG| 10| 4|11* | 16| 7| 14|9 |1* | 12| 6| 15|3* |13 | 8|5* | 2 TEM | 1|6* | 11| 16|4* | 15|12 | 9| 14|2* | 5| 8| *7| 10| 3| 13 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- TIMMY| 14| 13| 11| 16| 12| 15| *1| 10| 9|3* | 7| 5|4 | 6| 2| 8 TMAN8| 1| 11| 9|3* | 10| 16|13 | 14| 6|5* | 4| 7|15 | 8| 12|2* -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- TONYD| 5| 11| 1| 13| 4| 14|6 | 2| 7|3* | 10| 15|8 | 9| 12| 16 TUCKE|3* | 11| 4| 14| 2| 5|1 | 15| 6| 7| 13| 12|10 | 9| 8| 16 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- WENZE| 15| 10| 7| 14| 6| 13|8 | 9| 3|1* | 4| 2|11 | 5| 12| 16 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- CONS | KC | PHI| ATL| BUF| CHI| CIN| HSN| MIA| NO | NYG| LAC| SEA| DAL| TB | DET| SF -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- PICKS|13 |6 |10 |4 |4 |2 |26 |3 |3 |15 |1 |3 |22 |5 |3 |4 | 20| 27| 23| 29| 29| 31| 7| 30| 30| 18| 32| 30| 11| 28| 30| 29 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- PTS |74 |38 |56 |31 |17 |17 |200 |25 |20 |56 |8 |22 |203 |21 |19 |40 | 159| 189| 160| 391| 248| 453| 41| 266| 258| 67| 287| 294| 57| 204| 246| 321 -----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+----+---- * Denotes Upset pick -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WEEK 1, 2024 HARRITY REPORT 9/5/24 (Total Scenarios: 65536) Total Pct Ties SAILA 13656 20.8% 591 MRGNE 6357 9.7% 485 CAKES 5235 8.0% 552 ANHAM 4834 7.4% 509 SFTF3 3441 5.3% 477 SWAGG 3403 5.2% 380 JACKJ 3250 5.0% 409 CRAIG 2838 4.3% 366 TEM 2392 3.6% 373 BENZ 2390 3.6% 364 CHEWY 2283 3.5% 363 PHINS 2025 3.1% 363 TMAN8 1779 2.7% 276 PATR 1742 2.7% 379 DONA 1698 2.6% 332 CWTRD 1612 2.5% 329 JUSME 1273 1.9% 265 TUCKE 1236 1.9% 256 2KBOB 1232 1.9% 257 WENZE 1063 1.6% 215 GEOS 1029 1.6% 212 B1BOB 994 1.5% 199 NUPE 831 1.3% 184 DENNY 774 1.2% 198 IMHIM 540 0.8% 130 TONYD 467 0.7% 113 DAVID 449 0.7% 127 MIKEG 448 0.7% 129 TIMMY 428 0.7% 141 JLEST 271 0.4% 83 R2023 189 0.3% 72 STOSH 104 0.2% 39 KYLES 98 0.1% 58 And the trademarked Week 1 Explanation: The Harrity Report "predicts" the chances of each player winning the pool by running every possible game scenario (except ties) for the week against the pool picks. The total number of times each player would win (or tie for winning) the pool is listed under the "Total" column. The number of times a player ties with another player(s) is listed under the "Ties" column and the percentage of scenarios of the total number is represented under the "Pct" column. Since the Harrity Report is totally lacking in intelligence, it does NOT predict the outcome of the pool. It has no idea if the Aaron Rodgers's return to the Jets will make them good or even if he will play more than 4 plays. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- WEEK 1, 2024 CRITICAL GAMES REPORT 9/5/24 2KBOB GB (1190, 97%) KC (1136, 92%) ATL(1119, 91%) ANHAM NYJ(4479, 93%) B1BOB NO ( 931, 94%) BAL( 925, 93%) ATL( 918, 92%) NYJ( 906, 91%) BENZ WAS(2377, 99%) CAKES JAX(5207, 99%) CHEWY CLE(2269, 99%) IND(2186, 96%) CRAIG LAR(2755, 97%) ATL(2602, 92%) CWTRD JAX(1609,100%) GB (1512, 94%) SEA(1454, 90%) DAVID PHI( 423, 94%) SEA( 420, 94%) KC ( 418, 93%) CHI( 417, 93%) CLE( 417, 93%) DENNY CLE( 751, 97%) BAL( 738, 95%) HSN( 719, 93%) PIT( 717, 93%) DONA BAL(1698,100%) DAL(1661, 98%) IND(1555, 92%) GEOS BAL( 976, 95%) DET( 961, 93%) PIT( 960, 93%) IMHIM MIN( 523, 97%) HSN( 522, 97%) GB ( 500, 93%) DET( 499, 92%) JACKJ IND(2984, 92%) ATL(2931, 90%) JLEST SEA( 267, 99%) CHI( 266, 98%) BUF( 264, 97%) DET( 263, 97%) WAS( 254, 94%) JUSME AZ (1259, 99%) SF (1234, 97%) KYLES CHI( 98,100%) DET( 96, 98%) CLE( 96, 98%) SEA( 95, 97%) TB ( 94, 96%) ATL( 92, 94%) MIA( 89, 91%) MIKEG KC ( 448,100%) DAL( 447,100%) CHI( 430, 96%) NO ( 414, 92%) MRGNE AZ (5904, 93%) NUPE CLE( 768, 92%) TEN( 754, 91%) PATR BAL(1742,100%) SF (1591, 91%) PHI(1590, 91%) PHINS PIT(1953, 96%) TB (1845, 91%) R2023 TB ( 187, 99%) DET( 183, 97%) NYJ( 181, 96%) SEA( 179, 95%) ATL( 177, 94%) LAC( 173, 92%) SAILA SFTF3 NYJ(3435,100%) STOSH PIT( 104,100%) CLE( 104,100%) KC ( 103, 99%) LAC( 102, 98%) SEA( 102, 98%) CHI( 101, 97%) SWAGG PIT(3134, 92%) TEM ATL(2166, 91%) CLE(2153, 90%) TIMMY KC ( 428,100%) ATL( 403, 94%) MIN( 402, 94%) TMAN8 AZ (1667, 94%) TONYD SEA( 466,100%) PHI( 460, 99%) SF ( 455, 97%) JAX( 428, 92%) TUCKE SF (1162, 94%) MIA(1118, 90%) WENZE KC (1063,100%) SF (1035, 97%) DAL( 958, 90%) The Critical Games Report is an adjunct to the Harrity Report. It lists all the teams that "must win" for the player to win the weekly pool. A "must win" is defined as a team winning in 90% or more of the Harrity Report scenarios. For example, if a player has 100 (from the Harrity Report) chances to win, and SF must win in 98% of them, then in 98 of the 100 chances the player has to win, SF wins. If SF loses, the player is reduced to 2 chances to win. (Percentages are rounded up to whole numbers, so 100% may be 99.6 or so.) The Critical Games Report lists the number of matching scenarios and the percentage. Root hard for these teams...unless you like to give money away! If your name doesn't have any games listed next to it, it means you don't have any critical games. Which means you did some funky picking. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- BOB2K NFL FOOTBALL POOL 2024 NAME______________________ WEEK 2 (Games Starting on 9/12) ----------------- YOUR PICKS ----------------- ______________________________ 16 | | |______________________________| 15 | | |______________________________| 14 | | |______________________________| 13 | | |______________________________| 12 | | |______________________________| 11 | | |______________________________| 10 | | |______________________________| 9 | | |______________________________| 8 | | |______________________________| 7 | | |______________________________| 6 | | |______________________________| 5 | | |______________________________| 4 | | |______________________________| 3 | | |______________________________| 2 | | |______________________________| 1 | | |______________________________| ----------------- THE GAMES ----------------- Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins Las Vegas Raiders at Baltimore Ravens Los Angeles Chargers at Carolina Panthers New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers Cleveland Browns at Jacksonville Jaguars San Francisco 49ers at Minnesota Vikings Seattle Seahawks at New England Patriots New York Jets at Tennessee Titans New York Giants at Washington Commanders Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs Chicago Bears at Houston Texans Atlanta Falcons at Philadelphia Eagles --------------------------------------------- PLEASE RETURN BY Wednesday, 9/11 Noon(ET)